Silicon Valley Seed Market

Top Performing Models

By Median TVPI 3.14 Diverse - No Reserve
By Chance of 10x TVPI 6% Test
By Chance of 3x TVPI 56% Diverse - No Reserve
Add a Fund Model

Recent Models

Diverse - No Reserve by @pt
Portfolio 200 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.92
120*100K Pre/Seed - No FO by @tina_nia
Portfolio 120 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.92
Fork of modified 500 F1 (exclude non-US) by @davemcclure
Portfolio 200 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.63
120*100K Pre/Seed - No FO by @tina_nia
Portfolio 120 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.90
modified 500 F1 (exclude non-US) by @davemcclure
Portfolio 200 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.56
80*1% Pre/Seed - No FO by @tina_nia
Portfolio 80 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.94
Diverse - 50% Reserve by @pt
Portfolio 200 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.30
120*100K Pre/Seed - No FO by @tina_nia
Portfolio 120 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.36
baseline by @AkashVaswani7
Portfolio 45 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.71
YC by @jinal
Portfolio 40 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.85
DVC v4 by @Nick_Davidov
Portfolio 120 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.36
No reserve by @pt
Portfolio 30 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.66
250k checks by @NWischoff
Portfolio 26 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.86
E by @boo_burna
Portfolio 30 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.63
Concentrated - No Reserve by @pt
Portfolio 20 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.85
Fork of Fork of IBEX Early Stage Equity Fund by @ZanDapcevic
Portfolio 40 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.44
Fork of IBEX Early Stage Equity Fund by @ZanDapcevic
Portfolio 40 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.43
Fork of Fork of Fork of IBEX Early Stage Equity Fund by @ZanDapcevic
Portfolio 40 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.36
500k-750 checks sub 20m post val by @NWischoff
Portfolio 25 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.40
80 Flags*100K Pre/Seed - No FO by @tina_nia
Portfolio 80 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 2.87
IBEX Early Stage Equity Fund by @ZanDapcevic
Portfolio 40 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.21
Test by @ashl3ysm1th
Portfolio 20 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.80
Fork of pre-seed, seed, a by @kubeans
Portfolio 25 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.35
50% reserve, very selective by @pt
Portfolio 30 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.06
AI fund, 33% reserve, 20% follow-on rate by @benparr
Portfolio 24 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.89
Test by @brianmcc
Portfolio 20 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.51
120*100K Pre/Seed - No FO by @tina_nia
Portfolio 20 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.26
Concentrated - 50% Reserve by @pt
Portfolio 20 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.11
Foo by @teich
Portfolio 20 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.01
Abc by @leonherrera7
Portfolio 20 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.01
Unstoppable by @Tawheed
Portfolio 20 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 3.06
Concentrated Model - High Reserve by @pt
Portfolio 20 companies
Top Quartile TVPI 2.93

Market Details - edit

Made up data for Seed investing. This assumes the first investment is at seed and the follow-on is at Series A.

Outcome Distribution

The chance that any specific investment will exit at a valuation.

Probability Exit Rounds
0.1% $10B 7
1% $1B 6
1% $500M 5
5% $100M 4
20% $50M 3
72.9% $0 1